Skip to main content

Tech sector earnings scorecard - tech still can't get no respect

Last week I posted my first tech earnings scorecard for this earnings season. Tonight's results are a continuation of the theme.

This week I added a couple of new measures. I now track whether the stock beat First Call estimates by 20% or more and whether it showed 20% or more growth in earnings year-over-year.

There have been so many stocks reporting that I have opted not to display a table of results as it would be just too long. Instead, I'll present a summary of the numbers I have assembled thus far during this earnings season. These numbers include the stocks that reported over the course of the last three weeks including tonight, Monday.
  • We have tracked 167 tech stocks so far
  • 146 stocks beat First Call estimates which amounts to 87%
  • 44 of those stocks beat earnings estimates by 20% or more
  • 100 stocks showed at least some year-over-year earnings growth whether they beat estimates or not
  • 41 have shown year-over-year growth in earnings of 20% or more
  • 98 stocks have shown year-over-year revenue growth. That amounts to about 58%
  • 35 have shown revenue growth of 20% or more
  • 88 have provided upside guidance which amounts to about 52%. 
  • 27 others provided mixed or in-line guidance.
  • Only 3 stocks offered downside guidance
Given that we are still in the early stages of recovery from the Big Recession, these results look pretty darn good. Yet tech was the worst performing sector in the last two weeks of January.

I still contend that tech deserves more respect, especially in light of the relatively good guidance being provided and the fact that topline growth is being registered in more than half of those stocks reporting. This means that for many of these companies, earnings are not merely the result of cost cutting.

Keep an eye on this sector. Investors should catch on soon and tech could resume their leadership role.

    Comments

    Popular posts from this blog

    Brazil - in a bubble or on a roll?

    A couple of years ago, no one recognized the real estate bubble even though it was under everyone's nose. Now, analysts and bloggers are seeing bubbles everywhere they look. One of them, they say is in Brazil whose Bovespa stock market index has doubled in the last 12 months. Does the bubble accusation hold water? I don't think so and here are 7 reasons why Brazil is by no means a bubble economy: Exports have held up over the past year thanks to demand from China for Brazil's soya exports and iron ore. This was helped by the the Brazilian government's drive to improve trade links with Asia and Africa. Export diversification, spurred by a more active trade policy and increased focus on "south-south" trade under current president Lula, helped mitigate the decline in demand from OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries A "sensible" economic framework has been in place since the 1990's. This has included inflation

    Thursday Bounce: Trend Busters, Swing Signals and Trend Leaders for July 9, 2009

    This is a quick post to announce that we have published Thursday's Trend Leaders, Swing Signals and Trend Busters at Alert HQ . All are based on daily data. Today we have the following: 72 Swing Signals -- A couple of days ago we had 35 signals, today we have twice as many. Happily, we now have 65 BUY signals, a mere 4 SELL Signals plus 3 Strong BUYs. Whoo-hoo! 56 Trend Leaders , all in strong up-trends according to Aroon, MACD and DMI. There are 18 new stocks that made today's list and 60 that fell off Tuesday's list. 48 Trend Busters of which 5 are BUY signals and 43 are SELL signals The view from Alert HQ -- Talk about mixed signals. If you look at our Swing Signals list you would think the market was in the middle of a big bounce. BUY signals are swamping the SELL signals and we even have a few Strong BUYs. Yes, there's a good sprinkling of tech stocks and tech ETFs but the distribution is pretty broad-based with a good number of different sectors represented, eve

    Unlock Stock Market Profits - Key #1

    This is the first in an ongoing series of articles where I discuss what I feel are keys to successful investing. It is based on a post that provides a summary of the ten keys that individual investors should use to identify profitable stock trades. ( Click here to read the original post ) There are two basic steps to investing. First, you need to find stocks that seem to have some potential. Then you have to determine whether these stocks are actually good investments. There are many stocks that at first glance look interesting, but further research reveals that there are too many negatives to warrant taking a position. This first post in the series starts at the beginning: getting good investment ideas. Key #1: If something special is happening to a stock, it will be reflected in some kind of unusual activity in the markets. As individual investors, we will never be the first to know; however, unusual activity can be an early sign that allows us to follow the Wall Street professional