Skip to main content

Will Citigroup ever learn?

In a credit environment where CDO values are dropping like rocks and write-downs are sprouting all over Wall Street, one would think that Citigroup (C) would tread carefully when it comes to rolling out new debt products.

That, apparently, is not the case. The following is from Bloomberg:

"Citigroup has announced a new $165M CDO backed by 30 microfinance loans to entrepreneurs in 13 countries including Bosnia, Tajikistan, Mexico and El Salvador.

Citi will also invest in the lowest ranking, or equity, portion of the CDO along with International Finance Corp., a unit of the World Bank, according to Fitch Inc. Microlenders make loans to low-income borrowers in developing countries who may struggle to get credit from local banks.

The CDO will consist of six portions of debt, the highest is rated AA."

What the heck is Citi doing rolling out CDOs based on loans to people who wouldn't qualify for a sub-prime loan in this day and age? Is there a significant risk of default among the underlying loans? Isn't the risk further elevated given that micro-loans in developing countries are seldom secured by collateral?

Default risk is a critical part of any lending decision and microfinance or micro-lending is no exception. Micro-lending has a reputation as having historically high, some might say unexpectedly high, repayment rates. The information to support this, however, is limited.

Typically, companies get involved in supporting micro-finance as part of their corporate social responsibility (CSR) initiatives. To its credit, Citi has been active in helping many companies that provide micro-loans. It is understood that lenders like to securitize loans in order to receive an immediate return on the capital that has been disbursed to borrowers. Still, it is hard to understand why Citi feels the need to create this kind of CDO at this time. There must be other ways to support these microfinance lenders and provide aid to aspiring business people in developing countries.

In my view, now is when Citi should be demonstrating a more conservative investment philosophy. They have a certain amount of credibility to restore; billions of dollars worth of credibility, one might say. It makes you wonder if they've learned anything from the market turmoil seen in recent months.

Disclosure: author is long C in a retirement account

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Brazil - in a bubble or on a roll?

A couple of years ago, no one recognized the real estate bubble even though it was under everyone's nose. Now, analysts and bloggers are seeing bubbles everywhere they look. One of them, they say is in Brazil whose Bovespa stock market index has doubled in the last 12 months. Does the bubble accusation hold water? I don't think so and here are 7 reasons why Brazil is by no means a bubble economy: Exports have held up over the past year thanks to demand from China for Brazil's soya exports and iron ore. This was helped by the the Brazilian government's drive to improve trade links with Asia and Africa. Export diversification, spurred by a more active trade policy and increased focus on "south-south" trade under current president Lula, helped mitigate the decline in demand from OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries A "sensible" economic framework has been in place since the 1990's. This has included inflation

Trade Radar gets another update

Some of our data sources changed again and it impacted our ability to load fundamental/financial data. In response, we are rolling out a new version of the software: 7.1.24 The data sourcing issues are fixed and some dead links in the Chart menu were removed. So whether you are a registered user or someone engaged in the free trial, head over to our update page and download the latest version. The update page is here:   https://tradingstockalerts.com/software/downloadpatch Contact us if you have questions or identify any new issues.

Unlock Stock Market Profits - Key #1

This is the first in an ongoing series of articles where I discuss what I feel are keys to successful investing. It is based on a post that provides a summary of the ten keys that individual investors should use to identify profitable stock trades. ( Click here to read the original post ) There are two basic steps to investing. First, you need to find stocks that seem to have some potential. Then you have to determine whether these stocks are actually good investments. There are many stocks that at first glance look interesting, but further research reveals that there are too many negatives to warrant taking a position. This first post in the series starts at the beginning: getting good investment ideas. Key #1: If something special is happening to a stock, it will be reflected in some kind of unusual activity in the markets. As individual investors, we will never be the first to know; however, unusual activity can be an early sign that allows us to follow the Wall Street professional