Skip to main content

Generex Biotech - can the stock add to recent gains?

Starting in November, Generex Biotechnology (GNBT) has been quite volatile. That's about the time the company announced that its Oral-Lyn product had been licensed for commercial use in India. In October, a similar license was obtained in South Africa. The company is in the process of securing approvals to market the product in various Middle Eastern countries, as well.

In mid-November, Wall Street Strategies, an independent stock market research company, published a report on the company. They pointed out that the India news was a distinct positive for GNBT and that the stock is a buy. In addition, their analyst provided a further opinion as follows: "Currently, Oral-lyn is in phase III testing in North America. We expect that approval would automatically make this a $5.00 stock, but once sales begin we think the stock could move even higher." This sounds good but investors should be aware that Generex has retained Wall Street Strategies to provide investor relation services.

Earlier in the year, the stock jumped on a number of news events. There were various patent awards and license agreements in the US and other countries such as Lebanon, Armenia, Georgia, etc. The company began testing of a cancer vaccine in China with early signs of success. Positive analysis from Rodman and Renshaw briefly gave the stock a big boost. GNBT also announced that the number of retail chains in Canada and the United States that are carrying its proprietary Glucose RapidSpray(tm) product has expanded.

Without fail, however, the stock always falls back after a big event. Now, we are approaching an earnings announcement. The stock had over a 7% gain today. What are investors expecting?

Based on the last four quarters, revenues have been minimal and operating earnings negative. Are we actually going to see Generex begin to reap the benefits of some of the recent patents and license agreements? Essentially, GNBT is still a development stage company. Even as Generex gets closer to delivering on the promise of its Oral-Lyn product, it is unlikely that actual profits will be forthcoming this quarter. Investors may need to be prepared to see the stock swoon yet again.

Disclosure: GNBT is in our model portfolio

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Brazil - in a bubble or on a roll?

A couple of years ago, no one recognized the real estate bubble even though it was under everyone's nose. Now, analysts and bloggers are seeing bubbles everywhere they look. One of them, they say is in Brazil whose Bovespa stock market index has doubled in the last 12 months. Does the bubble accusation hold water? I don't think so and here are 7 reasons why Brazil is by no means a bubble economy: Exports have held up over the past year thanks to demand from China for Brazil's soya exports and iron ore. This was helped by the the Brazilian government's drive to improve trade links with Asia and Africa. Export diversification, spurred by a more active trade policy and increased focus on "south-south" trade under current president Lula, helped mitigate the decline in demand from OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries A "sensible" economic framework has been in place since the 1990's. This has included inflation

Trade Radar gets another update

Some of our data sources changed again and it impacted our ability to load fundamental/financial data. In response, we are rolling out a new version of the software: 7.1.24 The data sourcing issues are fixed and some dead links in the Chart menu were removed. So whether you are a registered user or someone engaged in the free trial, head over to our update page and download the latest version. The update page is here:   https://tradingstockalerts.com/software/downloadpatch Contact us if you have questions or identify any new issues.

Unlock Stock Market Profits - Key #1

This is the first in an ongoing series of articles where I discuss what I feel are keys to successful investing. It is based on a post that provides a summary of the ten keys that individual investors should use to identify profitable stock trades. ( Click here to read the original post ) There are two basic steps to investing. First, you need to find stocks that seem to have some potential. Then you have to determine whether these stocks are actually good investments. There are many stocks that at first glance look interesting, but further research reveals that there are too many negatives to warrant taking a position. This first post in the series starts at the beginning: getting good investment ideas. Key #1: If something special is happening to a stock, it will be reflected in some kind of unusual activity in the markets. As individual investors, we will never be the first to know; however, unusual activity can be an early sign that allows us to follow the Wall Street professional