Flipped from Bull to Bear today

Like many other investors, I have been enjoying the recent run-up in equity markets but have worried that it has been a bit overdone. It seems that every piece of news, good or bad, resulted in the market advancing. This is something that can't go on forever.

This afternoon, with QQQQ down about 1%, I pulled the trigger and sold the ProShares Ultra QQQ ETF (QLD) and bought the ProShares UltraShort QQQ (QID) again.

QLD was sold at $90.28 for a 2.7% gain over the course of under three weeks.

QID was bought at $48.39 and ended the day at $48.53 for a 0.4% gain.

If the mood of the market is going to change now that the enthusiasm of earnings season is over, bad news will be interpreted as bad news, not ignored. For a list of all the things wrong with the market these days, check out this post by Doug Kass.

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Brazil - in a bubble or on a roll?

A couple of years ago, no one recognized the real estate bubble even though it was under everyone's nose. Now, analysts and bloggers are seeing bubbles everywhere they look. One of them, they say is in Brazil whose Bovespa stock market index has doubled in the last 12 months. Does the bubble accusation hold water? I don't think so and here are 7 reasons why Brazil is by no means a bubble economy: Exports have held up over the past year thanks to demand from China for Brazil's soya exports and iron ore. This was helped by the the Brazilian government's drive to improve trade links with Asia and Africa. Export diversification, spurred by a more active trade policy and increased focus on "south-south" trade under current president Lula, helped mitigate the decline in demand from OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries A "sensible" economic framework has been in place since the 1990's. This has included inflation

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